Retic
Reticulate Economic Trends In Context
Always Wrong, Always Interesting
Latest Analysis
- Hormuz and Back: How a $25 Oil Whipsaw Couldn't Stop the AI Bull
WTI swung $25 intraweek as Hormuz fears spiked then collapsed. AI stocks shrugged. S&P 500 hit 7,041. Retic maps the week's wild narrative threads.
- Notable Reports: Week of April 13
IMF Hormuz warnings, record home prices, gold's safe-haven surge, and tokenization's rise — Retic's top 8 reports for W16 2026.
- Oil Craters 7%, Asia Rips, AI Keeps Dancing: Welcome to the Most Confusing Pre-Market of 2026
WTI crashes 7% on Iran diplomacy hopes, Asia surges, AMD +7.8% leads tech — S&P 500 eyes record highs. Retic's pre-market brief, April 17 2026.
- The Hormuz Premium Meets the Bottoming Thesis: Who Blinks First?
S&P futures up 1.2%, KOSPI surges 2.1%, but WTI at $92 and IMF recession warnings keep the bull case on a short leash.
- Tech Dispersion, $92 Oil, and a Globe That's Bullish — Wall Street Wakes Up Confused
KOSPI +2.7%, STOXX +1.4%, Mag7 surging — but $92 WTI, record-low consumer sentiment, and Hormuz fears keep bulls honest.
- Oil at $104, AI Bulls Undeterred: Two Narratives Enter, One Market Opens
WTI surges 7.8% past $104 on Hormuz fears as Mag7 AI bulls hold firm. S&P flat, NASDAQ +0.35%. Which narrative wins at the open?
- Hormuz and Back: How Five Days of War Premium Built, Burned, and Partially Rebuilt
US-Iran tensions whipsawed every major asset class before a Friday ceasefire lifted equities. Gold held firm. Oil shed 13%. The net mapped it all.
- Notable Reports: Week of April 6
IMF dominates the week with crisis warnings as the US-Iran Hormuz conflict tests global fiscal resilience, inflation forecasts, and market stability.
- The Hormuz Whipsaw: How a Near-War Became a Relief Rally in Five Sessions
US-Iran Hormuz crisis drove a $26 oil range, gold to $4,851, and a VIX rollercoaster — before Friday's ceasefire flipped everything risk-on.
- Peace Dividend: US-Iran Ceasefire Lights a Fire Under Tech
US-Iran ceasefire crushes the geopolitical risk premium. Nvidia +3.5%, Tesla +5% premarket. VIX at 19.3, DXY sub-99. Here's what it means for the open.